La scuola delle quote

Ñublense v Palestino

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ñublense (Casa)

Previsione 42.20%2.37quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.12%42.23%42.18%44.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.182.202.2950.00%45.97%45.45%43.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palestino (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.77%3.48quota equa
EV -1.61%
Vantaggio -0.469%
Kelly -0.663%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.46%28.76%28.71%30.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.173.153.4233.90%31.57%31.75%29.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.03%3.44quota equa
EV -4.20%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.81%29.01%29.10%30.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.153.153.3033.90%31.71%31.75%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.12%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.04%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 13:45
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.26%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.18%EV -1.61%E -0.469%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.56%EV -5.36%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 07:10
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -4.63%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 02:40
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -4.63%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 02:39
BetAnything2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -4.63%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 02:39
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.18%E -0.641%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 14:25
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 04:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 04:35
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.91%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.45%EV -5.92%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.63%EV -8.84%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 04:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 08:40
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 08:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 06:09
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 07:10
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 07:04
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 08:04
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -6.21%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -8.84%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 04:15
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 02:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 04:32
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 17:05
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 04:34
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 04:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 08:40
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 17:05
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 07:14
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-20 17:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 19:04
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 08:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 19:10
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 15:54
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-20 17:04
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-20 17:05
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.91%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-20 17:05
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 04:33
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 04:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 04:29
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 04:29
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.94%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 02:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 19:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 02:38
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 07:09
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 19:05
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -14.36%E -4.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 05:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 08:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-21 10:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.85%EV -15.60%E -7.80%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -15.13%E -5.13%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.10%EV -11.46%E -3.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-07-26 07:45
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-07-26 08:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.4%2026-07-26 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.4%2026-07-26 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.4%2026-07-26 08:35
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 41.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%2.9%2026-07-26 08:30