Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.68
assuming max odds 5.75
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 58.06%; La Serena (Visit): 18.00%; Draw: 23.94%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.56. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.48%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.96%EV -5.36%E -3.29%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV +3.48%E +0.606%K +0.733%G +0.026% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +2.58%E +0.453%K +0.549%G +0.014% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.88%EV +2.40%E +0.422%K +0.512%G +0.012% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.89%EV -7.58%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.02%E -0.185%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -12.91%E -8.61%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.02%E -0.185%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.19%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.66%EV -2.10%E -0.386%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.15%EV -8.54%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 21:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.64%EV -9.98%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.45%EV -7.50%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.07%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.77%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.92%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.92%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.82%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.82%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.83%EV -8.26%E -5.23%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -14.52%E -3.06%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.41%E -3.28%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -19.01%E -4.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 21:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.18% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 20:55 |
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