Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido v La Serena

2026-08-08 21:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 60.80%1.64fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -6.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.51%60.67%60.97%62.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.5869.44%65.84%65.79%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

La Serena (Visit)

Prediction 16.17%6.18fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.274%
Kelly -0.328%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.51%16.26%16.14%19.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.445.506.0822.22%18.39%18.18%16.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.02%4.34fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%23.07%22.89%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.933.954.2027.78%25.42%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 60.80%; La Serena (Visit): 16.17%; Draw: 23.02%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.08, with an expected value of -1.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -3.93%E -2.49%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -15.09%E -2.87%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 19:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -19.13%E -3.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.06%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 23:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.84%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -15.09%E -2.87%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.38%EV -4.00%E -0.958%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 21:49
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -4.58%E -0.775%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.30%E -0.787%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:04
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.58%E -0.775%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.06%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 01:54
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.58%E -0.775%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.06%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 01:54
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.36%E -4.13%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.76%EV -10.07%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 20:33
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.00%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.00%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 21:50
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.09%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.73%EV -17.51%E -3.43%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 21:55
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.04%EV -7.58%E -4.99%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.51%EV -1.66%E -0.274%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.30%E -0.787%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:20
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -7.58%E -4.99%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -8.62%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 23:34
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.02%EV -7.58%E -4.99%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -23.98%E -5.10%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 19:19
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -7.81%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 21:49
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -7.81%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 21:53
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.04%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 21:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -11.04%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -11.04%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 20:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -11.04%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 20:14
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.04%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.67%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.51%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.17%EV -27.22%E -6.05%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -14.82%E -4.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.19%EV -9.40%E -6.31%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.06%EV -22.37%E -4.66%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.75%EV -15.97%E -4.37%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-02 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.62%E -7.22%K -22.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.04%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 21:50
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.44%E -8.64%K -28.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -19.13%E -3.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -17.12%E -4.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-02 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.65%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%16.6%2026-08-02 19:20