Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coquimbo Unido v La Serena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 21:30 UTC

Score final : Coquimbo Unido 1–1 La Serena

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prévision 58.06%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -3.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.20%58.08%58.14%60.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.581.6866.67%63.13%63.49%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

La Serena (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.00%5.56cote équitable
EV +3.48%
Avantage +0.606%
Kelly +0.733%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.43%17.96%17.94%20.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.125.105.7522.22%19.51%19.61%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.94%4.18cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.87%23.97%23.92%25.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.823.854.0028.57%26.18%25.97%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Coquimbo Unido (Local) : 58.06% ; La Serena (Visiteur) : 18.00% ; Match nul : 23.94%. Pour La Serena (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.56. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +3.48%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.96%EV -5.36%E -3.29%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV +3.48%E +0.606%K +0.733%G +0.026%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +2.58%E +0.453%K +0.549%G +0.014%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:44
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.88%EV +2.40%E +0.422%K +0.512%G +0.012%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.89%EV -7.58%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 21:20
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.02%E -0.185%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -12.91%E -8.61%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.02%E -0.185%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 21:25
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.19%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.66%EV -2.10%E -0.386%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.15%EV -8.54%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:09
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:10
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:09
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:09
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 21:09
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 21:05
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 21:25
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 21:18
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.64%EV -9.98%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 21:09
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.45%EV -7.50%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.07%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 21:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 21:04
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.77%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:09
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:44
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:35
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 09:40
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 21:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.92%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.92%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 21:15
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.82%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 21:19
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.82%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 21:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.83%EV -8.26%E -5.23%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 13:04
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 21:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 21:05
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -14.52%E -3.06%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.41%E -3.28%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 13:04
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -19.01%E -4.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 21:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.18%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-08-08 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-08-08 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-08-08 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-08-08 21:25
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-08-08 21:25
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-08-08 20:55