Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coquimbo Unido v La Serena

2026-08-08 21:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coquimbo Unido (Casa)

Previsione 60.90%1.64quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -2.39%
Kelly -6.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.51%60.79%61.03%62.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.521.521.5869.44%65.88%65.79%63.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

La Serena (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.13%6.20quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -0.318%
Kelly -0.381%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.47%16.18%16.13%19.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.465.506.0822.22%18.32%18.18%16.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.97%4.35quota equa
EV -3.54%
Vantaggio -0.843%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.38%23.03%22.84%23.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.943.954.2027.78%25.38%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Coquimbo Unido (Casa): 60.90%; La Serena (Trasferta): 16.13%; Pareggio: 22.97%. Per La Serena (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.20. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 6.08, con un valore atteso del -1.94%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -3.77%E -2.39%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -15.32%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 19:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -19.36%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 23:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.84%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -15.32%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.38%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 21:49
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -4.84%E -0.820%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.54%E -0.843%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:04
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.84%E -0.820%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 01:54
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.84%E -0.820%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 01:54
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.76%EV -10.32%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.84%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 20:33
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.84%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 21:50
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.09%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.73%EV -17.74%E -3.48%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 21:55
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.04%EV -7.43%E -4.89%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.51%EV -1.94%E -0.318%K -0.381%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.54%E -0.843%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:20
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -7.43%E -4.89%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -8.87%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.84%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 23:34
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.02%EV -7.43%E -4.89%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -24.19%E -5.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -12.73%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 19:19
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.84%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 04:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 21:49
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -8.06%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 21:53
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 21:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.73%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.73%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 20:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.73%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 20:14
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.51%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.17%EV -27.42%E -6.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -15.02%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.19%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.06%EV -22.58%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.75%EV -16.17%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-02 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.47%E -7.12%K -22.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 21:50
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.30%E -8.54%K -27.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -19.36%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -17.32%E -4.81%K -6.66%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-02 21:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 57.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.65%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%16.6%2026-08-02 19:20