Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Coquimbo Unido v La Serena

Início: 2026-08-08 21:30 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 1–1 La Serena

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Previsão 58.06%1.72odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -3.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.20%58.08%58.14%60.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.581.6866.67%63.13%63.49%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

La Serena (Visitante)

Previsão 18.00%5.56odd justa
EV +3.48%
Vantagem +0.606%
Kelly +0.733%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.43%17.96%17.94%20.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.125.105.7522.22%19.51%19.61%17.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.94%4.18odd justa
EV -4.23%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.87%23.97%23.92%25.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.823.854.0028.57%26.18%25.97%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 58.06%; La Serena (Visitante): 18.00%; Empate: 23.94%. Para La Serena (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.56. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.48%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.96%EV -5.36%E -3.29%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV +3.48%E +0.606%K +0.733%G +0.026%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +2.58%E +0.453%K +0.549%G +0.014%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:44
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.88%EV +2.40%E +0.422%K +0.512%G +0.012%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.89%EV -7.58%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 21:20
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.02%E -0.185%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -12.91%E -8.61%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.02%E -0.185%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 21:25
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.19%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.66%EV -2.10%E -0.386%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.15%EV -8.54%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:09
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:10
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:09
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 21:09
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 21:09
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 21:05
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 21:25
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 21:18
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.64%EV -9.98%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 21:09
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.45%EV -7.50%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.07%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 21:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 21:04
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.77%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:09
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:44
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:35
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 09:40
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 19:44
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 21:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.92%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.92%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 21:15
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.82%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 21:19
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.82%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 21:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.83%EV -8.26%E -5.23%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 13:04
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 21:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 21:05
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -14.52%E -3.06%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.41%E -3.28%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 13:04
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -19.01%E -4.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 21:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.18%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-08-08 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-08-08 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-08-08 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-08-08 21:25
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-08-08 21:25
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-08-08 20:55