Idioma:Español
Coquimbo Unido v La Serena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Coquimbo Unido (Local)
Predicción 58.06%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.20%58.08%58.14%60.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.581.6866.67%63.13%63.49%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
La Serena (Visitante)
Predicción 18.00%5.56momio equitativo
EV +3.48%
Ventaja +0.606%
Kelly +0.733%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.43%17.96%17.94%20.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.125.105.7522.22%19.51%19.61%17.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.94%4.18momio equitativo
EV -4.23%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.87%23.97%23.92%25.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.823.854.0028.57%26.18%25.97%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 58.06%; La Serena (Visitante): 18.00%; Empate: 23.94%. Para La Serena (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.56. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.48%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.96%EV -5.36%E -3.29%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV +3.48%E +0.606%K +0.733%G +0.026% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +2.58%E +0.453%K +0.549%G +0.014% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.88%EV +2.40%E +0.422%K +0.512%G +0.012% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.89%EV -7.58%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.02%E -0.185%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -12.91%E -8.61%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.02%E -0.185%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.19%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.66%EV -2.10%E -0.386%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.15%EV -8.54%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.62%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 21:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.64%EV -9.98%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -6.42%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.45%EV -7.50%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.07%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.22%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.77%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.02%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.81%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.92%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.92%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.82%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.82%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.83%EV -8.26%E -5.23%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -13.62%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -11.17%E -7.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -14.52%E -3.06%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.57%EV -9.43%E -6.04%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.41%E -3.28%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -19.01%E -4.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 21:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.18% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 20:55 |