Language:English
Audax Italiano v Union La Calera
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Audax Italiano (Local)
Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.85%44.18%44.04%46.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.072.052.2051.81%48.30%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union La Calera (Visit)
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV +0.540%
Edge +0.149%
Kelly +0.206%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%27.66%27.78%28.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.6232.26%30.26%30.30%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.20%3.55fair odd
EV -0.166%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.065%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.16%28.17%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.253.5432.26%30.93%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Audax Italiano (Local): 44.02%; Union La Calera (Visit): 27.77%; Draw: 28.20%. For Union La Calera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.540%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.87%E -4.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV +0.540%E +0.149%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -0.166%E -0.047%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.95%EV -5.79%E -2.70%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.24%E -0.636%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.72%EV -2.14%E -0.617%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.63%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.06%EV -5.02%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.31%EV -4.40%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.99%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -8.06%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08%EV -6.23%E -2.92%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 00:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -12.51%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |