Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano v Union La Calera

2026-08-22 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prediction 47.41%2.11fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -3.10%
Kelly -6.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.56%47.73%47.42%50.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.931.9855.56%52.16%51.81%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union La Calera (Visit)

Prediction 25.14%3.98fair odd
EV +5.57%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.67%24.75%25.15%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.604.2030.30%27.61%27.78%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.46%3.64fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%27.52%27.42%28.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.32%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Audax Italiano (Local): 47.41%; Union La Calera (Visit): 25.14%; Draw: 27.46%. For Union La Calera (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +5.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -9.93%E -5.22%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV +5.57%E +1.33%K +1.74%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -9.93%E -5.22%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 14:00
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -7.20%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 15:19
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -12.30%E -6.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.79%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.79%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.20%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:34
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:34
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:29
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:09
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -13.72%E -7.54%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 14:00
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.50%E -4.41%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:59
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.50%E -4.41%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.50%E -4.41%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:59
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.50%E -4.41%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.11%EV -14.67%E -8.15%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.39%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.49%EV -13.51%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-15 13:59
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -10.40%E -5.50%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -10.40%E -5.50%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -17.05%E -5.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-15 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 47.69%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.07%11.0%2026-08-15 19:00
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 47.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%16.4%2026-08-15 15:00

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