Langue:Français
Audax Italiano v Union La Calera
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Audax Italiano (Local)
Prévision 44.02%2.27cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.85%44.18%44.04%46.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.072.052.2051.81%48.30%48.78%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Union La Calera (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.77%3.60cote équitable
EV +0.540%
Avantage +0.149%
Kelly +0.206%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%27.66%27.78%28.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.303.6232.26%30.26%30.30%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.20%3.55cote équitable
EV -0.166%
Avantage -0.047%
Kelly -0.065%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%28.16%28.17%29.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.233.253.5432.26%30.93%30.77%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Audax Italiano (Local) : 44.02% ; Union La Calera (Visiteur) : 27.77% ; Match nul : 28.20%. Pour Union La Calera (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.60. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.62, soit une espérance positive de +0.540%.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.87%E -4.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV +0.540%E +0.149%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -0.166%E -0.047%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.95%EV -5.79%E -2.70%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.24%E -0.636%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.72%EV -2.14%E -0.617%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.63%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.06%EV -5.02%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.31%EV -4.40%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.99%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -8.06%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08%EV -6.23%E -2.92%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 00:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -12.51%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 00:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |