Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Audax Italiano v Union La Calera

2026-08-22 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Audax Italiano (Casa)

Previsione 47.41%2.11quota equa
EV -6.13%
Vantaggio -3.10%
Kelly -6.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.56%47.73%47.42%50.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.921.931.9855.56%52.16%51.81%50.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Union La Calera (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.14%3.98quota equa
EV +5.57%
Vantaggio +1.33%
Kelly +1.74%
Crescita +0.097%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.67%24.75%25.15%26.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.623.604.2030.30%27.61%27.78%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.46%3.64quota equa
EV -3.90%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.85%27.52%27.42%28.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.32%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Audax Italiano (Casa): 47.41%; Union La Calera (Trasferta): 25.14%; Pareggio: 27.46%. Per Union La Calera (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.98. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.20, con un valore atteso positivo del +5.57%.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -9.93%E -5.22%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV +5.57%E +1.33%K +1.74%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -9.93%E -5.22%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 14:00
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -7.20%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 15:19
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -12.30%E -6.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.79%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.79%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.20%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:34
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:34
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:29
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:09
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -13.72%E -7.54%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 14:00
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.50%E -4.41%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:59
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.50%E -4.41%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.50%E -4.41%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:59
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.50%E -4.41%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.11%EV -14.67%E -8.15%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.39%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.49%EV -13.51%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-15 13:59
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -10.40%E -5.50%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -10.40%E -5.50%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -17.05%E -5.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-15 16:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 47.69%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.07%11.0%2026-08-15 21:34
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 47.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%16.4%2026-08-15 15:00

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