Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Audax Italiano v Union La Calera

Inizio: 2026-08-22 00:29 UTC

Finale: Audax Italiano 0–0 Union La Calera

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Audax Italiano (Casa)

Previsione 44.02%2.27quota equa
EV -3.15%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -2.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.85%44.18%44.04%46.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.072.052.2051.81%48.30%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Union La Calera (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.77%3.60quota equa
EV +0.540%
Vantaggio +0.149%
Kelly +0.206%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.81%27.66%27.78%28.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.313.303.6232.26%30.26%30.30%27.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.20%3.55quota equa
EV -0.166%
Vantaggio -0.047%
Kelly -0.065%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.11%28.16%28.17%29.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.233.253.5432.26%30.93%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Audax Italiano (Casa): 44.02%; Union La Calera (Trasferta): 27.77%; Pareggio: 28.20%. Per Union La Calera (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.60. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.62, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.540%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.87%E -4.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV +0.540%E +0.149%K +0.206%G +0.001%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -0.166%E -0.047%K -0.065%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:25
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.95%EV -5.79%E -2.70%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.24%E -0.636%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.72%EV -2.14%E -0.617%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 00:20
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 00:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 00:10
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 00:15
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 00:15
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.63%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.06%EV -5.02%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.31%EV -4.40%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:24
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.99%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 00:04
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 00:04
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 00:18
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 00:19
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 00:14
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 00:15
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -8.06%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:24
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 00:15
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 00:10
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 23:59
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 23:59
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 23:59
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 00:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 00:15
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 00:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08%EV -6.23%E -2.92%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 00:09
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 23:59
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 00:24
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 00:13
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 00:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 00:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 00:14
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -12.51%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 00:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 00:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-22 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-22 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-22 00:24
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-22 00:20
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-08-22 00:20
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%2.1%2026-08-22 00:24