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Audax Italiano v Union La Calera
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Audax Italiano (Хозяева)
Прогноз 44.02%2.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.15%
Преимущество -1.43%
Kelly -2.62%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.85%44.18%44.04%46.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.932.072.052.2051.81%48.30%48.78%45.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Union La Calera (Гости)
Прогноз 27.77%3.60справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.540%
Преимущество +0.149%
Kelly +0.206%
Рост +0.001%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.62
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.81%27.66%27.78%28.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.313.303.6232.26%30.26%30.30%27.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.20%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.166%
Преимущество -0.047%
Kelly -0.065%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.11%28.16%28.17%29.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.233.253.5432.26%30.93%30.77%28.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Audax Italiano (Хозяева): 44.02%; Union La Calera (Гости): 27.77%; Ничья: 28.20%. Для исхода «Union La Calera (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.60. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.62, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.540%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.87%E -4.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV +0.540%E +0.149%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -0.166%E -0.047%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.95%EV -5.79%E -2.70%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.24%E -0.636%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.72%EV -2.14%E -0.617%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.63%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.06%EV -5.02%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.31%EV -4.40%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.99%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -8.06%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08%EV -6.23%E -2.92%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 00:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -12.51%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 00:19 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |