Idioma:Español
Audax Italiano v Union La Calera
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Audax Italiano (Local)
Predicción 44.02%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.85%44.18%44.04%46.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.072.052.2051.81%48.30%48.78%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Union La Calera (Visitante)
Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV +0.540%
Ventaja +0.149%
Kelly +0.206%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%27.66%27.78%28.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.303.6232.26%30.26%30.30%27.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.20%3.55momio equitativo
EV -0.166%
Ventaja -0.047%
Kelly -0.065%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.16%28.17%29.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.253.5432.26%30.93%30.77%28.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Audax Italiano (Local): 44.02%; Union La Calera (Visitante): 27.77%; Empate: 28.20%. Para Union La Calera (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.60. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.540%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.87%E -4.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV +0.540%E +0.149%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -0.166%E -0.047%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.95%EV -5.79%E -2.70%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.24%E -0.636%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.72%EV -2.14%E -0.617%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -15.03%E -7.79%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.63%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.06%EV -5.02%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.31%EV -4.40%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.99%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -8.06%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08%EV -6.23%E -2.92%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 00:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.57%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -12.51%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.34%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 00:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |