StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Audax Italiano v Ñublense

Matchstart: 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Audax Italiano 2–2 Ñublense

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Audax Italiano (Hemma)

Prognos 39.45%2.54rättvist odds
EV -2.96%
Fördel -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.61%39.47%39.48%41.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.312.302.4645.45%43.20%43.38%40.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ñublense (Borta)

Prognos 31.30%3.19rättvist odds
EV -2.97%
Fördel -0.958%
Kelly -1.41%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.77%31.28%31.30%32.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.952.953.1036.36%33.95%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.25%3.42rättvist odds
EV -2.00%
Fördel -0.598%
Kelly -0.852%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.27%29.25%29.21%30.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.133.153.3534.48%31.91%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Audax Italiano (Hemma): 39.45%; Ñublense (Borta): 31.30%; Oavgjort: 29.25%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.42. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.35, med väntevärdet -2.00%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.09%EV -2.96%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 23:44
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:40
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:39
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:40
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 23:34
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 23:33
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 23:33
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 23:49
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -2.00%E -0.598%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 23:24
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 23:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 23:44
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:40
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 23:34
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.30%EV -8.48%E -3.66%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.80%EV -7.35%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.53%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 23:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.84%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 23:24
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 23:44
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-10 23:54
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 23:44
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:35
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.53%EV -9.67%E -4.22%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.83%EV -5.79%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.64%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 23:25
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 23:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:20
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-10 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-10 23:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-10 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-10 23:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-10 23:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-10 23:50
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-10 23:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:55