Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Audax Italiano v Ñublense

Inizio: 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC

Finale: Audax Italiano 2–2 Ñublense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Audax Italiano (Casa)

Previsione 39.45%2.54quota equa
EV -2.96%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.61%39.47%39.48%41.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.312.302.4645.45%43.20%43.38%40.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ñublense (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.30%3.19quota equa
EV -2.97%
Vantaggio -0.958%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.77%31.28%31.30%32.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.952.953.1036.36%33.95%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.25%3.42quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -0.598%
Kelly -0.852%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.27%29.25%29.21%30.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.133.153.3534.48%31.91%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Audax Italiano (Casa): 39.45%; Ñublense (Trasferta): 31.30%; Pareggio: 29.25%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.42. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.35, con un valore atteso del -2.00%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.09%EV -2.96%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 23:44
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:40
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:39
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:40
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 23:34
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 23:33
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 23:33
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 23:49
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -2.00%E -0.598%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 23:24
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 23:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 23:44
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:40
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 23:34
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.30%EV -8.48%E -3.66%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.80%EV -7.35%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.53%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 23:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.84%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 23:24
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 23:44
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-10 23:54
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 23:44
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:35
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.53%EV -9.67%E -4.22%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.83%EV -5.79%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.64%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 23:25
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 23:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:20
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-10 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-10 23:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-10 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-10 23:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-10 23:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-10 23:50
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-10 23:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:55