StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Audax Italiano v Ñublense

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC

Endstand: Audax Italiano 2–2 Ñublense

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Audax Italiano (Heim)

Prognose 39.45%2.54faire Quote
EV -2.96%
Vorteil -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.61%39.47%39.48%41.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.312.302.4645.45%43.20%43.38%40.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ñublense (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.30%3.19faire Quote
EV -2.97%
Vorteil -0.958%
Kelly -1.41%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.77%31.28%31.30%32.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.952.953.1036.36%33.95%33.90%32.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.25%3.42faire Quote
EV -2.00%
Vorteil -0.598%
Kelly -0.852%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.27%29.25%29.21%30.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.903.133.153.3534.48%31.91%31.75%29.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Audax Italiano (Heim): 39.45%; Ñublense (Auswärts): 31.30%; Unentschieden: 29.25%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.42. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.35, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.00%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.09%EV -2.96%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 23:44
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:40
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:39
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 23:40
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 23:34
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 23:33
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 23:33
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 23:49
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -2.00%E -0.598%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 23:24
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 23:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 23:44
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:40
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 23:34
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.30%EV -8.48%E -3.66%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.80%EV -7.35%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.53%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 23:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.84%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 23:24
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 23:44
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-10 23:54
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 23:44
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:35
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.53%EV -9.67%E -4.22%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.83%EV -5.79%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.64%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 23:25
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 23:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 23:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:20
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-10 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-10 23:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-10 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-10 23:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-10 23:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-10 23:50
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-10 23:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-10 23:55