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Audax Italiano v Ñublense
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Audax Italiano (Хозяева)
Прогноз 39.45%2.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.96%
Преимущество -1.20%
Kelly -2.03%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.46
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.61%39.47%39.48%41.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.312.302.4645.45%43.20%43.38%40.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ñublense (Гости)
Прогноз 31.30%3.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.97%
Преимущество -0.958%
Kelly -1.41%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.77%31.28%31.30%32.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.952.953.1036.36%33.95%33.90%32.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.25%3.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.00%
Преимущество -0.598%
Kelly -0.852%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.27%29.25%29.21%30.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.133.153.3534.48%31.91%31.75%29.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Audax Italiano (Хозяева): 39.45%; Ñublense (Гости): 31.30%; Ничья: 29.25%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.42. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.35, математическое ожидание — -2.00%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.09%EV -2.96%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 23:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 23:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 23:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -2.00%E -0.598%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-10 23:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.30%EV -8.48%E -3.66%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.80%EV -7.35%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.53%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.84%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-10 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-10 23:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-10 23:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.53%EV -9.67%E -4.22%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 30.83%EV -5.79%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.64%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 04:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-10 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-10 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-10 23:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-10 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |