Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.46
avec la cote maximale 3.10
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Audax Italiano (Local) : 39.45% ; Ñublense (Visiteur) : 31.30% ; Match nul : 29.25%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.42. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.35, pour une espérance de -2.00% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.09%EV -2.96%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -3.60%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 23:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 23:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 23:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.73%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -2.00%E -0.598%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -6.51%E -2.75%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-10 23:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.30%EV -8.48%E -3.66%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.80%EV -7.35%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.53%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.84%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-10 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-10 23:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-10 23:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.17%E -5.23%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.53%EV -9.67%E -4.22%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 30.83%EV -5.79%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.64%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 04:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-10 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-10 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -12.03%E -5.40%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -2.97%E -0.958%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-10 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-10 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-10 23:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-10 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |