Language:English
Audax Italiano v La Serena
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Audax Italiano (Local)
Prediction 48.87%2.05fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.42%49.02%48.85%51.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.851.9757.14%53.61%54.05%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
La Serena (Visit)
Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV +0.222%
Edge +0.055%
Kelly +0.074%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.94%25.14%25.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.26%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.08%3.84fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.591%
Kelly -0.806%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%26.04%26.01%29.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.493.503.7534.72%28.63%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Audax Italiano (Local): 48.87%; La Serena (Visit): 25.06%; Draw: 26.08%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.222%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.24%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV +0.222%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.75%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.61%E -4.61%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.48%E -8.27%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.72%EV -2.79%E -0.718%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -2.22%E -0.591%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -3.54%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.30%EV -5.54%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 05:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.13%EV -10.08%E -5.48%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.64%E -4.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -6.65%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-12 23:48 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -11.55%E -6.38%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-12 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.13%EV -12.52%E -7.00%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.05%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-12 23:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -13.50%E -7.63%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -12.65%E -3.78%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.30%EV -11.06%E -6.08%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -24.90%E -8.65%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |