L’École des cotes

Audax Italiano v La Serena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 00:00 UTC

Score final : Audax Italiano 1–1 La Serena

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prévision 48.87%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -3.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.42%49.02%48.85%51.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.871.851.9757.14%53.61%54.05%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

La Serena (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.06%3.99cote équitable
EV +0.222%
Avantage +0.055%
Kelly +0.074%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.19%24.94%25.14%25.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.26%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.08%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -0.591%
Kelly -0.806%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.12%26.04%26.01%29.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.493.503.7534.72%28.63%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.24%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV +0.222%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.75%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 23:50
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 23:50
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.61%E -4.61%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.48%E -8.27%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 23:40
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.72%EV -2.79%E -0.718%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -2.22%E -0.591%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:50
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -3.54%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 23:39
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 23:40
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.30%EV -5.54%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 05:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:40
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:40
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.13%EV -10.08%E -5.48%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-12 21:20
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 23:39
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.64%E -4.04%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -6.65%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 23:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 23:50
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 23:48
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -11.55%E -6.38%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 21:19
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-12 23:40
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-12 23:40
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 23:40
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.13%EV -12.52%E -7.00%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-12 23:39
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 23:50
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.05%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-12 23:40
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-12 23:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 23:49
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -13.50%E -7.63%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -12.65%E -3.78%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-12 23:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.30%EV -11.06%E -6.08%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-12 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -24.90%E -8.65%K -13.25%G +0.000%19.7%2026-06-12 23:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-06-12 23:40
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-06-12 23:50