La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Audax Italiano v La Serena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Audax Italiano (Local)
Predicción 48.87%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -3.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.42%49.02%48.85%51.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.871.851.9757.14%53.61%54.05%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
La Serena (Visitante)
Predicción 25.06%3.99momio equitativo
EV +0.222%
Ventaja +0.055%
Kelly +0.074%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.19%24.94%25.14%25.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.26%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.08%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.591%
Kelly -0.806%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.12%26.04%26.01%29.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.493.503.7534.72%28.63%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.24%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV +0.222%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.75%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.61%E -4.61%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.48%E -8.27%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.72%EV -2.79%E -0.718%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -2.22%E -0.591%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -3.54%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| GTbets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.30%EV -5.54%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 05:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.13%EV -10.08%E -5.48%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.64%E -4.04%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -6.65%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-12 23:48 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -11.55%E -6.38%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-12 21:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.13%EV -12.52%E -7.00%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-12 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.05%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-12 23:49 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -13.50%E -7.63%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -12.65%E -3.78%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.30%EV -11.06%E -6.08%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -24.90%E -8.65%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |