A Escola das Odds

Audax Italiano v La Serena

Início: 2026-06-13 00:00 UTC

Final: Audax Italiano 1–1 La Serena

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Previsão 48.87%2.05odd justa
EV -3.73%
Vantagem -1.89%
Kelly -3.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.42%49.02%48.85%51.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.871.851.9757.14%53.61%54.05%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

La Serena (Visitante)

Previsão 25.06%3.99odd justa
EV +0.222%
Vantagem +0.055%
Kelly +0.074%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.19%24.94%25.14%25.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.26%27.03%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.08%3.84odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.591%
Kelly -0.806%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.12%26.04%26.01%29.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.493.503.7534.72%28.63%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.24%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV +0.222%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.75%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 23:50
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 23:50
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.61%E -4.61%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.48%E -8.27%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 23:40
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.72%EV -2.79%E -0.718%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -2.22%E -0.591%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:50
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -3.54%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 23:39
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 23:40
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.30%EV -5.54%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 05:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:40
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:40
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.13%EV -10.08%E -5.48%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-12 21:20
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 23:39
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.64%E -4.04%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -6.65%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 23:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 23:50
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 23:48
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -11.55%E -6.38%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 21:19
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-12 23:40
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-12 23:40
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 23:40
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.13%EV -12.52%E -7.00%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-12 23:39
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 23:50
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.05%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-12 23:40
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-12 23:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 23:49
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -13.50%E -7.63%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -12.65%E -3.78%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-12 23:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.30%EV -11.06%E -6.08%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-12 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -24.90%E -8.65%K -13.25%G +0.000%19.7%2026-06-12 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-06-12 23:40
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-06-12 23:50