مدرسة الاحتمالات

Audax Italiano v La Serena

البداية: 2026-06-13 00:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Audax Italiano 1–1 La Serena

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Audax Italiano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.87%2.05السعر العادل
EV -3.73%
الأفضلية -1.89%
Kelly -3.84%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.42%49.02%48.85%51.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.871.851.9757.14%53.61%54.05%50.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

La Serena (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.06%3.99السعر العادل
EV +0.222%
الأفضلية +0.055%
Kelly +0.074%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.19%24.94%25.14%25.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.26%27.03%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.08%3.84السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -0.591%
Kelly -0.806%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.12%26.04%26.01%29.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.493.503.7534.72%28.63%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.24%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV +0.222%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.75%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 23:50
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.49%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -1.03%E -0.261%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 23:50
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.61%E -4.61%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.48%E -8.27%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 23:40
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.72%EV -2.79%E -0.718%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -2.22%E -0.591%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:50
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -3.54%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 23:39
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 23:40
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.30%EV -5.54%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 05:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:40
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:40
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.13%EV -10.08%E -5.48%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-12 21:20
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 23:39
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.64%E -4.04%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -6.65%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 23:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 23:50
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 23:48
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -11.55%E -6.38%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 21:19
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-12 23:40
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-12 23:40
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 23:40
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.13%EV -12.52%E -7.00%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-12 23:39
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 23:50
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.05%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-12 23:40
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-12 23:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 23:49
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -13.50%E -7.63%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -12.65%E -3.78%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-12 23:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.30%EV -11.06%E -6.08%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-12 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -14.81%E -4.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -24.90%E -8.65%K -13.25%G +0.000%19.7%2026-06-12 23:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-06-12 23:40
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-06-12 23:50