Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vila Nova v Sport Recife

2026-08-08 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

42%

28%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vila Nova (Local)

Prediction 42.30%2.36fair odd

EV -4.83%

Edge -2.14%

Kelly -3.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.36%42.44%42.30%43.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.162.172.2547.62%46.23%46.19%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sport Recife (Visit)

Prediction 28.45%3.51fair odd

EV -7.53%

Edge -2.32%

Kelly -3.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.85%28.55%28.45%29.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.053.193.203.2532.79%31.35%31.25%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.25%3.42fair odd

EV -2.02%

Edge -0.602%

Kelly -0.859%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.76%29.02%29.25%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.193.163.3533.33%31.33%31.65%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%	3.19I 31.35%NM 29.18%EV -9.24%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65%NM 29.45%EV -7.58%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-29 17:34
Marathon Bet	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -5.25%E -2.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -10.09%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -7.58%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-29 19:34
NordicBet	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.79%E -3.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-29 14:15
Betsson	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.79%E -3.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-29 14:15
LeoVegas	2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -7.79%E -3.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-07-29 14:20
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -2.02%E -0.602%K -0.859%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-29 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-29 19:05
FanDuel	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-29 14:13
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-29 14:13
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-07-29 14:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.