语言:简体中文
Vila Nova v Sport Recife
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Vila Nova (主队)
预测 43.45%2.30公平赔率
EV -3.11%
优势 -1.39%
Kelly -2.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.23
博彩公司预测分布
41.72%43.50%43.57%46.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.142.142.2351.28%46.83%46.73%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sport Recife (客队)
预测 27.11%3.69公平赔率
EV +3.28%
优势 +0.860%
Kelly +1.17%
增长率 +0.038%
假设最高赔率为 3.81
博彩公司预测分布
24.44%27.07%27.01%29.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.353.303.8132.26%29.86%30.30%26.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.44%3.40公平赔率
EV +0.106%
优势 +0.031%
Kelly +0.044%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.40%29.44%29.42%30.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.103.103.4034.48%32.30%32.26%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Vila Nova (主队)：43.45%；Sport Recife (客队)：27.11%；平局：29.44%。 对于“Sport Recife (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.69。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.81，对应+3.28%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.26%EV +3.28%E +0.860%K +1.17%G +0.038% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -6.08%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.88%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV +0.294%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +0.294%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -15.27%E -7.83%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV +0.294%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.74%EV -8.32%E -3.94%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 18:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.32%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -10.49%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -9.32%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:47 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV +0.106%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 18:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.84%E -0.860%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.84%E -0.860%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.84%E -0.860%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.79%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -14.61%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -7.88%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -14.61%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 18:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -7.88%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -13.14%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -13.14%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |