默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vila Nova v Sport Recife

2026-08-08 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

42%

29%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vila Nova (主队)

预测 42.33%2.36公平赔率

EV -4.76%

优势 -2.12%

Kelly -3.81%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布

41.36%42.46%42.26%43.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.162.152.2547.62%46.34%46.51%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sport Recife (客队)

预测 28.72%3.48公平赔率

EV -6.65%

优势 -2.05%

Kelly -2.96%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布

27.85%28.67%28.59%29.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.003.133.183.2533.33%31.90%31.45%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.95%3.45公平赔率

EV -3.02%

优势 -0.902%

Kelly -1.29%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布

27.76%28.87%29.15%29.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.003.173.153.3533.33%31.54%31.75%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
1xBet	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%	3.19I 31.35%NM 29.23%EV -8.38%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.94%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-29 20:25
Marathon Bet	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -5.61%E -2.51%K -4.56%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.19%EV -8.66%E -2.72%K -3.97%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-29 20:20
NordicBet	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-29 14:15
Betsson	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-29 14:15
LeoVegas	2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -12.40%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-07-29 14:20
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-29 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-29 19:05
BetMGM	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-29 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-07-29 20:25
Neds	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-07-29 20:25
Coral	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-07-29 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-07-29 20:25
FanDuel	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-29 14:13
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-29 14:13
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-07-29 14:15

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。