Idioma:Español
Vila Nova v Sport Recife
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vila Nova (Local)
Predicción 43.45%2.30momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.72%43.50%43.57%46.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.142.142.2351.28%46.83%46.73%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sport Recife (Visitante)
Predicción 27.11%3.69momio equitativo
EV +3.28%
Ventaja +0.860%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.44%27.07%27.01%29.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.353.303.8132.26%29.86%30.30%26.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.44%3.40momio equitativo
EV +0.106%
Ventaja +0.031%
Kelly +0.044%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.40%29.44%29.42%30.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.103.4034.48%32.30%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Vila Nova (Local): 43.45%; Sport Recife (Visitante): 27.11%; Empate: 29.44%. Para Sport Recife (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.69. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.81, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.28%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.26%EV +3.28%E +0.860%K +1.17%G +0.038% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -6.08%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.88%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV +0.294%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +0.294%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -15.27%E -7.83%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV +0.294%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.74%EV -8.32%E -3.94%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 18:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.32%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -10.49%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -9.32%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:47 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV +0.106%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 18:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.84%E -0.860%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.84%E -0.860%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.84%E -0.860%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.79%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -14.61%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -7.88%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -14.61%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 18:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -7.88%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -13.14%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -13.14%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |