Langue:Français
Vila Nova v Sport Recife
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vila Nova (Local)
Prévision 43.45%2.30cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.72%43.50%43.57%46.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.142.142.2351.28%46.83%46.73%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sport Recife (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.11%3.69cote équitable
EV +3.28%
Avantage +0.860%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.038%
avec la cote maximale 3.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.44%27.07%27.01%29.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.303.8132.26%29.86%30.30%26.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.44%3.40cote équitable
EV +0.106%
Avantage +0.031%
Kelly +0.044%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.40%29.44%29.42%30.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.103.103.4034.48%32.30%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vila Nova (Local) : 43.45% ; Sport Recife (Visiteur) : 27.11% ; Match nul : 29.44%. Pour Sport Recife (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.69. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.81, soit une espérance positive de +3.28%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.26%EV +3.28%E +0.860%K +1.17%G +0.038% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -6.08%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.88%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV +0.294%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +0.294%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -15.27%E -7.83%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV +0.294%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.74%EV -8.32%E -3.94%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 18:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.32%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -10.49%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -9.32%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:47 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV +0.106%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 18:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.84%E -0.860%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.84%E -0.860%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.84%E -0.860%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.79%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -14.61%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -7.88%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -14.61%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 18:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -7.88%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -13.14%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -13.14%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |