預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Vila Nova v Ponte Preta

開賽時間: 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC

最終賽果: Vila Nova 6–0 Ponte Preta

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

47 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Vila Nova (主隊)

預測 70.08%1.43公平賠率
EV -3.29%
優勢 -2.38%
Kelly -8.65%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.38

博彩公司預測分布
66.54%70.06%69.97%72.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.37%75.19%72.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Ponte Preta (客隊)

預測 9.91%10.10公平賠率
EV +8.96%
優勢 +0.815%
Kelly +0.896%
成長率 +0.080%

假設最高賠率為 11.00

博彩公司預測分布
8.47%9.94%9.95%12.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.008.839.0011.0014.29%11.33%11.11%9.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 20.01%5.00公平賠率
EV -0.936%
優勢 -0.189%
Kelly -0.237%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.95

博彩公司預測分布
18.80%20.00%20.08%21.71%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.524.504.9523.81%22.13%22.22%20.20%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Vila Nova (主隊):70.08%;Ponte Preta (客隊):9.91%;和局:20.01%。 對於「Ponte Preta (客隊)」,該估計相當於10.10的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為11.00,對應+8.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (47 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +8.96%E +0.815%K +0.896%G +0.080%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +8.96%E +0.815%K +0.896%G +0.080%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.91%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.77%EV +7.97%E +0.731%K +0.805%G +0.064%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -0.936%E -0.189%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -1.94%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 22:56
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 22:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-19 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-19 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-19 23:15
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.51%EV -3.42%E -0.351%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 23:25
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.46%EV -3.42%E -0.351%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.73%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.55%EV -3.92%E -0.404%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.50%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 22:50
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-19 22:50
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-19 22:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-19 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-19 22:50
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.27%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.89%EV -6.39%E -0.676%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.84%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 22:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:56
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:50
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 23:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.44%EV -12.83%E -1.46%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 22:49
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -15.80%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-19 23:20
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.81%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -15.80%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-19 22:50
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 23:15
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 23:15
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -12.94%E -2.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-19 22:50
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-19 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-19 22:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-19 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.10%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -13.94%E -3.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-19 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.95%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-19 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.95%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-19 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.54%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -30.66%E -4.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-19 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.54%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -30.66%E -4.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-19 23:15
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%0.2%2026-08-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%0.2%2026-08-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%0.2%2026-08-19 23:20
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%0.2%2026-08-19 23:26
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-19 23:10