Lingua:Italiano
Vila Nova v Ponte Preta
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Vila Nova (Casa)
Previsione 70.08%1.43quota equa
EV -3.29%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -8.65%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.54%70.06%69.97%72.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.37%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Ponte Preta (Trasferta)
Previsione 9.91%10.10quota equa
EV +8.96%
Vantaggio +0.815%
Kelly +0.896%
Crescita +0.080%
ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.47%9.94%9.95%12.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.839.0011.0014.29%11.33%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 20.01%5.00quota equa
EV -0.936%
Vantaggio -0.189%
Kelly -0.237%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.80%20.00%20.08%21.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.524.504.9523.81%22.13%22.22%20.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Vila Nova (Casa): 70.08%; Ponte Preta (Trasferta): 9.91%; Pareggio: 20.01%. Per Ponte Preta (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 10.10. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 11.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +8.96%.
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +8.96%E +0.815%K +0.896%G +0.080% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +8.96%E +0.815%K +0.896%G +0.080% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.91%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.77%EV +7.97%E +0.731%K +0.805%G +0.064% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -0.936%E -0.189%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -1.94%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.51%EV -3.42%E -0.351%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.46%EV -3.42%E -0.351%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.73%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.55%EV -3.92%E -0.404%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.50%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.27%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.89%EV -6.39%E -0.676%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.84%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.44%EV -12.83%E -1.46%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -15.80%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.81%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -15.80%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -12.94%E -2.98%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.10%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -13.94%E -3.24%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.95%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.95%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.54%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -30.66%E -4.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.54%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -30.66%E -4.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |