Sprache:Deutsch
Vila Nova v Ponte Preta
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Vila Nova (Heim)
Prognose 70.08%1.43faire Quote
EV -3.29%
Vorteil -2.38%
Kelly -8.65%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.38
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.54%70.06%69.97%72.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.37%75.19%72.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Ponte Preta (Auswärts)
Prognose 9.91%10.10faire Quote
EV +8.96%
Vorteil +0.815%
Kelly +0.896%
Wachstum +0.080%
bei einer Höchstquote von 11.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.47%9.94%9.95%12.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.839.0011.0014.29%11.33%11.11%9.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 20.01%5.00faire Quote
EV -0.936%
Vorteil -0.189%
Kelly -0.237%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.95
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.80%20.00%20.08%21.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.204.524.504.9523.81%22.13%22.22%20.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Vila Nova (Heim): 70.08%; Ponte Preta (Auswärts): 9.91%; Unentschieden: 20.01%. Für Ponte Preta (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.10. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.96%.
Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Unentschieden | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +8.96%E +0.815%K +0.896%G +0.080% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +8.96%E +0.815%K +0.896%G +0.080% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.91%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.77%EV +7.97%E +0.731%K +0.805%G +0.064% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -0.936%E -0.189%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -1.94%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.51%EV -3.42%E -0.351%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.46%EV -3.42%E -0.351%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.73%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.55%EV -3.92%E -0.404%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.50%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.27%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.89%EV -6.39%E -0.676%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.84%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.44%EV -12.83%E -1.46%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -15.80%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.81%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -15.80%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -12.94%E -2.98%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.10%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -13.94%E -3.24%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.95%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.95%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.54%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -30.66%E -4.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.54%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -30.66%E -4.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (5)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |