Langue:Français
Vila Nova v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vila Nova (Local)
Prévision 70.08%1.43cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -8.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.54%70.06%69.97%72.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.37%75.19%72.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.91%10.10cote équitable
EV +8.96%
Avantage +0.815%
Kelly +0.896%
Croissance +0.080%
avec la cote maximale 11.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.47%9.94%9.95%12.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.839.0011.0014.29%11.33%11.11%9.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.01%5.00cote équitable
EV -0.936%
Avantage -0.189%
Kelly -0.237%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.80%20.00%20.08%21.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.524.504.9523.81%22.13%22.22%20.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vila Nova (Local) : 70.08% ; Ponte Preta (Visiteur) : 9.91% ; Match nul : 20.01%. Pour Ponte Preta (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.10. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 11.00, soit une espérance positive de +8.96%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +8.96%E +0.815%K +0.896%G +0.080% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +8.96%E +0.815%K +0.896%G +0.080% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.91%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.77%EV +7.97%E +0.731%K +0.805%G +0.064% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -0.936%E -0.189%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -1.94%E -0.395%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -3.94%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -0.944%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.51%EV -3.42%E -0.351%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.46%EV -3.42%E -0.351%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.73%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.55%EV -3.92%E -0.404%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.50%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -5.90%E -0.621%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.27%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.89%EV -6.39%E -0.676%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.84%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.85%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.44%EV -12.83%E -1.46%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -15.80%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.81%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -15.80%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.34%E -3.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.29%E -2.38%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -20.76%E -2.59%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -12.94%E -2.98%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.10%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -13.94%E -3.24%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.95%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -25.71%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.95%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.54%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -30.66%E -4.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.54%EV -7.49%E -5.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -30.66%E -4.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.83% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 23:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |