语言:简体中文
Sport Recife v Ponte Preta
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sport Recife (主队)
预测 80.38%1.24公平赔率
EV -5.95%
优势 -5.09%
Kelly -35.00%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.17
博彩公司预测分布
78.03%80.49%80.30%82.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.101.141.151.1790.91%87.52%86.96%85.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ponte Preta (客队)
预测 6.52%15.35公平赔率
EV +17.28%
优势 +0.960%
Kelly +1.02%
增长率 +0.176%
假设最高赔率为 18.00
博彩公司预测分布
5.14%6.52%6.54%8.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0014.2114.0018.009.09%7.04%7.14%5.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 13.10%7.63公平赔率
EV +4.80%
优势 +0.599%
Kelly +0.685%
增长率 +0.033%
假设最高赔率为 8.00
博彩公司预测分布
11.83%13.00%13.16%15.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.967.008.0017.39%14.36%14.29%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sport Recife (主队)：80.38%；Ponte Preta (客队)：6.52%；平局：13.10%。 对于“Ponte Preta (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.35。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为18.00，对应+17.28%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +17.28%E +0.960%K +1.02%G +0.176% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.62%EV +7.51%E +0.455%K +0.484%G +0.036% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV +4.25%E +0.266%K +0.283%G +0.012% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.03%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -24.68%E -4.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.13%EV -10.77%E -9.71%K -97.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -5.52%E -0.381%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -5.52%E -0.381%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.42%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 13.96I 7.16%NM 6.71%EV -9.04%E -0.648%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 7.89I 12.67%NM 11.87%EV +3.35%E +0.425%K +0.487%G +0.016% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.88%EV -12.04%E -0.892%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +4.80%E +0.599%K +0.685%G +0.033% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.48%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.61%EV -13.54%E -2.05%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.87%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.88%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.46%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -11.58%E -10.52%K -115.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -11.58%E -10.52%K -115.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:16 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.51%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -28.33%E -2.58%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -3.06%E -0.414%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.51%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -28.33%E -2.58%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -3.06%E -0.414%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.07% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.30% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.22% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.60% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |