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Sport Recife v Ponte Preta
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Sport Recife (Хозяева)
Прогноз 80.38%1.24справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.95%
Преимущество -5.09%
Kelly -35.00%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.03%80.49%80.30%82.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.101.141.151.1790.91%87.52%86.96%85.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ponte Preta (Гости)
Прогноз 6.52%15.35справедливый коэффициент
EV +17.28%
Преимущество +0.960%
Kelly +1.02%
Рост +0.176%
при максимальном коэффициенте 18.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
5.14%6.52%6.54%8.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
11.0014.2114.0018.009.09%7.04%7.14%5.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 13.10%7.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.80%
Преимущество +0.599%
Kelly +0.685%
Рост +0.033%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.83%13.00%13.16%15.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.756.967.008.0017.39%14.36%14.29%12.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Sport Recife (Хозяева): 80.38%; Ponte Preta (Гости): 6.52%; Ничья: 13.10%. Для исхода «Ponte Preta (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 15.35. 9 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 18.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +17.28%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +17.28%E +0.960%K +1.02%G +0.176% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.62%EV +7.51%E +0.455%K +0.484%G +0.036% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV +4.25%E +0.266%K +0.283%G +0.012% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.03%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -24.68%E -4.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.13%EV -10.77%E -9.71%K -97.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -5.52%E -0.381%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -5.52%E -0.381%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.42%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 13.96I 7.16%NM 6.71%EV -9.04%E -0.648%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 7.89I 12.67%NM 11.87%EV +3.35%E +0.425%K +0.487%G +0.016% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.88%EV -12.04%E -0.892%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +4.80%E +0.599%K +0.685%G +0.033% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.48%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.61%EV -13.54%E -2.05%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.87%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.88%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.46%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -11.58%E -10.52%K -115.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -11.58%E -10.52%K -115.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:16 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.51%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -28.33%E -2.58%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -3.06%E -0.414%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.51%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -28.33%E -2.58%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -3.06%E -0.414%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.07% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.30% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.22% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.60% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |