StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sport Recife v Ponte Preta

Matchstart: 2026-09-11 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Sport Recife 2–0 Ponte Preta

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sport Recife (Hemma)

Prognos 80.38%1.24rättvist odds
EV -5.95%
Fördel -5.09%
Kelly -35.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.03%80.49%80.30%82.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.101.141.151.1790.91%87.52%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Borta)

Prognos 6.52%15.35rättvist odds
EV +17.28%
Fördel +0.960%
Kelly +1.02%
Tillväxt +0.176%

med antagandet om högsta odds 18.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.14%6.52%6.54%8.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
11.0014.2114.0018.009.09%7.04%7.14%5.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 13.10%7.63rättvist odds
EV +4.80%
Fördel +0.599%
Kelly +0.685%
Tillväxt +0.033%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.83%13.00%13.16%15.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.756.967.008.0017.39%14.36%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sport Recife (Hemma): 80.38%; Ponte Preta (Borta): 6.52%; Oavgjort: 13.10%. För Ponte Preta (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 15.35. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 18.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +17.28%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +17.28%E +0.960%K +1.02%G +0.176%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 15:20
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:40
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:40
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.62%EV +7.51%E +0.455%K +0.484%G +0.036%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV +4.25%E +0.266%K +0.283%G +0.012%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 15:15
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 07:24
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 07:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 07:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 07:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 07:24
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 07:24
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.03%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -24.68%E -4.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.13%EV -10.77%E -9.71%K -97.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -5.52%E -0.381%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:15
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -5.52%E -0.381%K -0.409%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 07:24
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.42%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%13.96I 7.16%NM 6.71%EV -9.04%E -0.648%K -0.698%G +0.000%7.89I 12.67%NM 11.87%EV +3.35%E +0.425%K +0.487%G +0.016%6.8%2026-09-09 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.88%EV -12.04%E -0.892%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 15:35
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +4.80%E +0.599%K +0.685%G +0.033%5.7%2026-09-09 09:04
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.48%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.61%EV -13.54%E -2.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 15:18
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.87%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.88%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 07:24
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.46%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 07:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -11.58%E -10.52%K -115.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -11.58%E -10.52%K -115.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 07:24
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 16:13
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 16:10
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 15:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 15:16
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.51%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -28.33%E -2.58%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -3.06%E -0.414%K -0.479%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.51%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -28.33%E -2.58%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -3.06%E -0.414%K -0.479%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 16:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-09-09 15:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71%1.7%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71%1.7%2026-09-09 17:41
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.07%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63%2.4%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.22%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.60%2.6%2026-09-09 17:41