Langue:Français
Sport Recife v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sport Recife (Local)
Prévision 80.38%1.24cote équitable
EV -5.95%
Avantage -5.09%
Kelly -35.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.03%80.49%80.30%82.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.101.141.151.1790.91%87.52%86.96%85.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.52%15.35cote équitable
EV +17.28%
Avantage +0.960%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.176%
avec la cote maximale 18.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.14%6.52%6.54%8.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
11.0014.2114.0018.009.09%7.04%7.14%5.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 13.10%7.63cote équitable
EV +4.80%
Avantage +0.599%
Kelly +0.685%
Croissance +0.033%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.83%13.00%13.16%15.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.967.008.0017.39%14.36%14.29%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sport Recife (Local) : 80.38% ; Ponte Preta (Visiteur) : 6.52% ; Match nul : 13.10%. Pour Ponte Preta (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 15.35. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 18.00, soit une espérance positive de +17.28%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +17.28%E +0.960%K +1.02%G +0.176% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.77%E +0.633%K +0.673%G +0.072% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.62%EV +7.51%E +0.455%K +0.484%G +0.036% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV +4.25%E +0.266%K +0.283%G +0.012% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.75%E -5.82%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.03%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -24.68%E -4.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.13%EV -10.77%E -9.71%K -97.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.27%E -0.151%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -5.52%E -0.381%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -5.52%E -0.381%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV -8.78%E -0.627%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.42%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 13.96I 7.16%NM 6.71%EV -9.04%E -0.648%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 7.89I 12.67%NM 11.87%EV +3.35%E +0.425%K +0.487%G +0.016% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.88%EV -12.04%E -0.892%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -5.95%E -5.09%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +4.80%E +0.599%K +0.685%G +0.033% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -8.30%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.48%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.61%EV -13.54%E -2.05%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -9.17%E -8.11%K -70.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.87%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.88%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -11.58%E -1.72%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.46%EV -9.97%E -8.90%K -83.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -11.58%E -10.52%K -115.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -11.58%E -10.52%K -115.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -15.30%E -1.18%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -1.75%E -0.234%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:16 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.56%E -6.57%K -50.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -21.81%E -1.82%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.85%E -2.29%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.51%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -28.33%E -2.58%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -3.06%E -0.414%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.51%EV -8.36%E -7.33%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -28.33%E -2.58%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -3.06%E -0.414%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.07% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.30% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.22% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.60% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |