Language:English
Sport Recife v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sport Recife (Local)
Prediction 56.39%1.77fair odd
EV -5.83%
Edge -3.49%
Kelly -8.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.87%56.49%56.38%58.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.6764.52%61.45%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 17.95%5.57fair odd
EV +3.74%
Edge +0.646%
Kelly +0.781%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 5.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.28%17.92%17.87%19.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.105.055.7821.74%19.60%19.80%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.61%25.59%25.75%27.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.7530.30%28.04%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sport Recife (Local): 56.39%; Londrina (Visit): 17.95%; Draw: 25.67%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.60%EV +3.74%E +0.646%K +0.781%G +0.029% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.28%EV +2.84%E +0.495%K +0.600%G +0.017% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.13%EV -8.37%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 22:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -12.60%E -8.13%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 23:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -7.57%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -14.02%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.06%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 23:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 23:27 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -14.75%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |