Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sport Recife v Londrina

Inizio: 2026-08-14 23:31 UTC

Finale: Sport Recife 2–1 Londrina

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sport Recife (Casa)

Previsione 56.39%1.77quota equa
EV -5.83%
Vantaggio -3.49%
Kelly -8.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.87%56.49%56.38%58.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.631.631.6764.52%61.45%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Londrina (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.95%5.57quota equa
EV +3.74%
Vantaggio +0.646%
Kelly +0.781%
Crescita +0.029%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.28%17.92%17.87%19.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.105.055.7821.74%19.60%19.80%17.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.67%3.90quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.61%25.59%25.75%27.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.573.603.7530.30%28.04%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sport Recife (Casa): 56.39%; Londrina (Trasferta): 17.95%; Pareggio: 25.67%. Per Londrina (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.57. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.78, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.74%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.60%EV +3.74%E +0.646%K +0.781%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 23:24
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.28%EV +2.84%E +0.495%K +0.600%G +0.017%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.13%EV -8.37%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:24
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 22:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -12.60%E -8.13%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 22:49
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 23:13
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 23:29
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:19
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -7.57%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 23:04
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 23:00
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 23:19
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -14.02%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 23:24
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.06%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-14 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-14 23:04
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 23:28
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 23:27
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -14.75%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 23:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-14 23:30
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-14 23:30