StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sport Recife v Londrina

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 23:31 UTC

Endstand: Sport Recife 2–1 Londrina

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sport Recife (Heim)

Prognose 56.39%1.77faire Quote
EV -5.83%
Vorteil -3.49%
Kelly -8.71%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.87%56.49%56.38%58.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.631.631.6764.52%61.45%61.35%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.95%5.57faire Quote
EV +3.74%
Vorteil +0.646%
Kelly +0.781%
Wachstum +0.029%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.78

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.28%17.92%17.87%19.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.605.105.055.7821.74%19.60%19.80%17.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.67%3.90faire Quote
EV -3.75%
Vorteil -1.00%
Kelly -1.37%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.61%25.59%25.75%27.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.573.603.7530.30%28.04%27.78%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sport Recife (Heim): 56.39%; Londrina (Auswärts): 17.95%; Unentschieden: 25.67%. Für Londrina (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.57. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.78 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.74%.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.60%EV +3.74%E +0.646%K +0.781%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 23:24
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.28%EV +2.84%E +0.495%K +0.600%G +0.017%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.13%EV -8.37%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:24
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 22:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -12.60%E -8.13%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 22:49
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 23:13
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 23:29
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:19
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -7.57%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 23:04
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 23:00
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 23:19
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -14.02%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 23:24
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.06%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-14 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-14 23:04
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 23:28
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 23:27
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -14.75%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 23:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-14 23:30
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-14 23:30