Idioma:Español
Sport Recife v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sport Recife (Local)
Predicción 56.39%1.77momio equitativo
EV -5.83%
Ventaja -3.49%
Kelly -8.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.87%56.49%56.38%58.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.631.6764.52%61.45%61.35%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 17.95%5.57momio equitativo
EV +3.74%
Ventaja +0.646%
Kelly +0.781%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.28%17.92%17.87%19.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.105.055.7821.74%19.60%19.80%17.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.67%3.90momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.61%25.59%25.75%27.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.573.603.7530.30%28.04%27.78%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sport Recife (Local): 56.39%; Londrina (Visitante): 17.95%; Empate: 25.67%. Para Londrina (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.57. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.78, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.74%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.60%EV +3.74%E +0.646%K +0.781%G +0.029% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.28%EV +2.84%E +0.495%K +0.600%G +0.017% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.13%EV -8.37%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 22:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -12.60%E -8.13%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 23:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -7.57%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -14.02%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.06%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 23:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 23:27 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -14.75%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |