StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sport Recife v Londrina

Matchstart: 2026-08-14 23:31 UTC

Slutresultat: Sport Recife 2–1 Londrina

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sport Recife (Hemma)

Prognos 56.39%1.77rättvist odds
EV -5.83%
Fördel -3.49%
Kelly -8.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.87%56.49%56.38%58.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.551.631.631.6764.52%61.45%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Borta)

Prognos 17.95%5.57rättvist odds
EV +3.74%
Fördel +0.646%
Kelly +0.781%
Tillväxt +0.029%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.28%17.92%17.87%19.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.105.055.7821.74%19.60%19.80%17.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.67%3.90rättvist odds
EV -3.75%
Fördel -1.00%
Kelly -1.37%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.61%25.59%25.75%27.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.573.603.7530.30%28.04%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sport Recife (Hemma): 56.39%; Londrina (Borta): 17.95%; Oavgjort: 25.67%. För Londrina (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.57. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.78, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.74%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.60%EV +3.74%E +0.646%K +0.781%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 23:24
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.28%EV +2.84%E +0.495%K +0.600%G +0.017%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.13%EV -8.37%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:24
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 22:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -12.60%E -8.13%K -22.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 22:49
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 23:13
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -2.19%E -0.401%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 23:29
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:19
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -7.57%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 23:04
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 23:00
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 23:19
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -14.02%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 23:24
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.06%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.47%E -7.31%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-14 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -12.04%E -7.72%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-14 23:04
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 23:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 23:28
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 23:27
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.85%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -14.75%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -9.22%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 23:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-14 23:30
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-14 23:30