Language:English
Sport Recife v Atletico Goianiense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sport Recife (Local)
Prediction 46.84%2.13fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.62%46.86%46.96%50.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.981.952.0855.56%50.57%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Goianiense (Visit)
Prediction 24.71%4.05fair odd
EV +4.02%
Edge +0.955%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 4.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.52%24.64%24.60%26.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.683.604.2129.85%27.15%27.78%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.45%3.51fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.50%28.45%30.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.3933.33%31.40%31.25%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sport Recife (Local): 46.84%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 24.71%; Draw: 28.45%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.12%EV -11.00%E -5.79%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.17%EV +4.02%E +0.955%K +1.25%G +0.050% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -15.69%E -8.71%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV +1.30%E +0.317%K +0.420%G +0.005% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV +1.05%E +0.258%K +0.341%G +0.004% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.17%E -0.292%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-18 23:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.82%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-18 23:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 23:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-18 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -14.76%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.38%E -3.29%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |