A Escola das Odds

Sport Recife v Atletico Goianiense

Início: 2026-06-19 00:02 UTC

Final: Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sport Recife (Local)

Previsão 46.84%2.13odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.62%46.86%46.96%50.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.981.952.0855.56%50.57%51.28%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)

Previsão 24.71%4.05odd justa
EV +4.02%
Vantagem +0.955%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescimento +0.050%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.52%24.64%24.60%26.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.353.683.604.2129.85%27.15%27.78%23.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.45%3.51odd justa
EV -3.55%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.51%28.50%28.45%30.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.203.3933.33%31.40%31.25%29.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.12%EV -11.00%E -5.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.17%EV +4.02%E +0.955%K +1.25%G +0.050%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 23:59
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -15.69%E -8.71%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 00:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV +1.30%E +0.317%K +0.420%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:59
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV +1.05%E +0.258%K +0.341%G +0.004%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 23:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.17%E -0.292%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 00:00
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 23:58
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 00:00
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-18 23:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 00:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 23:59
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-19 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-19 00:00
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 00:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 00:00
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.82%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-18 23:59
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 00:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-18 23:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-18 23:59
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-18 23:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 00:00
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 00:00
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 00:00
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:58
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-18 23:49
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-19 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -14.76%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.38%E -3.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-19 00:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-18 23:59
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-18 23:59
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-19 00:00
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-19 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-19 00:00
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%4.4%2026-06-19 00:00