مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sport Recife v Atletico Goianiense

البداية: 2026-06-19 00:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sport Recife (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.84%2.13السعر العادل
EV -2.57%
الأفضلية -1.24%
Kelly -2.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.62%46.86%46.96%50.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.981.952.0855.56%50.57%51.28%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atletico Goianiense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.71%4.05السعر العادل
EV +4.02%
الأفضلية +0.955%
Kelly +1.25%
النمو +0.050%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.52%24.64%24.60%26.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.683.604.2129.85%27.15%27.78%23.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.45%3.51السعر العادل
EV -3.55%
الأفضلية -1.05%
Kelly -1.49%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.51%28.50%28.45%30.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.183.203.3933.33%31.40%31.25%29.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.12%EV -11.00%E -5.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.17%EV +4.02%E +0.955%K +1.25%G +0.050%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 23:59
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -15.69%E -8.71%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 00:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV +1.30%E +0.317%K +0.420%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:59
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV +1.05%E +0.258%K +0.341%G +0.004%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 23:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.17%E -0.292%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 00:00
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 23:58
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 00:00
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-18 23:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 00:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 23:59
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-19 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-19 00:00
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 00:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 00:00
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.82%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-18 23:59
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 00:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-18 23:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-18 23:59
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-18 23:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 00:00
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 00:00
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 00:00
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:58
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-18 23:49
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-19 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -14.76%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.38%E -3.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-19 00:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-18 23:59
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-18 23:59
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-19 00:00
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-19 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-19 00:00
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-19 00:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%4.4%2026-06-19 00:00