La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sport Recife v Atletico Goianiense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sport Recife (Local)
Predicción 46.84%2.13momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.62%46.86%46.96%50.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.981.952.0855.56%50.57%51.28%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)
Predicción 24.71%4.05momio equitativo
EV +4.02%
Ventaja +0.955%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.52%24.64%24.60%26.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.683.604.2129.85%27.15%27.78%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.45%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.51%28.50%28.45%30.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.203.3933.33%31.40%31.25%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.12%EV -11.00%E -5.79%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.17%EV +4.02%E +0.955%K +1.25%G +0.050% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -15.69%E -8.71%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV +1.30%E +0.317%K +0.420%G +0.005% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV +1.05%E +0.258%K +0.341%G +0.004% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.17%E -0.292%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-18 23:58 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.82%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Casumo | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-18 23:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 23:58 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-18 23:49 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -14.76%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.38%E -3.29%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-18 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 00:00 |