L’École des cotes

Sport Recife v Atletico Goianiense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-19 00:02 UTC

Score final : Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sport Recife (Local)

Prévision 46.84%2.13cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.62%46.86%46.96%50.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.981.952.0855.56%50.57%51.28%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.71%4.05cote équitable
EV +4.02%
Avantage +0.955%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.52%24.64%24.60%26.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.683.604.2129.85%27.15%27.78%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.45%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.51%28.50%28.45%30.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.3933.33%31.40%31.25%29.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.12%EV -11.00%E -5.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.17%EV +4.02%E +0.955%K +1.25%G +0.050%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 23:59
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -15.69%E -8.71%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV +3.77%E +0.898%K +1.18%G +0.044%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 00:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV +1.30%E +0.317%K +0.420%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:59
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV +1.05%E +0.258%K +0.341%G +0.004%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 23:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.17%E -0.292%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 00:00
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 23:58
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 00:00
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.64%E -0.933%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-18 23:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 00:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 23:59
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-19 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.53%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-19 00:00
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 00:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.58%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 00:00
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.82%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-18 23:59
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 00:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 00:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -9.60%E -4.97%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-18 23:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-18 23:59
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-18 23:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.05%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 00:00
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 00:00
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 00:00
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.29%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:58
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-18 23:49
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-19 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -14.76%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.38%E -3.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-19 00:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-18 23:59
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-18 23:59
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-19 00:00
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-19 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-19 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-19 00:00
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.13%E -4.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -17.23%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -13.22%E -4.34%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-06-19 00:00
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-06-19 00:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%4.4%2026-06-19 00:00