语言:简体中文
São Bernardo v Nautico PE
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
São Bernardo (主队)
预测 44.92%2.23公平赔率
EV -2.97%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -2.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.16
博彩公司预测分布
42.58%44.86%44.94%46.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.072.072.1651.28%48.36%48.31%46.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nautico PE (客队)
预测 26.67%3.75公平赔率
EV +0.819%
优势 +0.217%
Kelly +0.295%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 3.78
博彩公司预测分布
24.93%26.71%26.71%29.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.383.303.7832.79%29.62%30.30%26.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.41%3.52公平赔率
EV -2.56%
优势 -0.748%
Kelly -1.06%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.43
博彩公司预测分布
27.93%28.42%28.35%29.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.213.233.4332.79%31.11%31.01%29.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：São Bernardo (主队)：44.92%；Nautico PE (客队)：26.67%；平局：28.41%。 对于“Nautico PE (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.75。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.78，对应+0.819%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV +0.819%E +0.217%K +0.295%G +0.002% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.06%EV -2.56%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV +0.019%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 18:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.67%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.44%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.26%E -4.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.65%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -15.98%E -5.07%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -18.65%E -6.12%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.36%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -18.65%E -6.12%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.36%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |