StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

São Bernardo v Nautico PE

Matchstart: 2026-08-23 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: São Bernardo 1–1 Nautico PE

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

São Bernardo (Hemma)

Prognos 44.92%2.23rättvist odds
EV -2.97%
Fördel -1.37%
Kelly -2.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.58%44.86%44.94%46.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.072.072.1651.28%48.36%48.31%46.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nautico PE (Borta)

Prognos 26.67%3.75rättvist odds
EV +0.819%
Fördel +0.217%
Kelly +0.295%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.93%26.71%26.71%29.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.383.303.7832.79%29.62%30.30%26.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.41%3.52rättvist odds
EV -2.56%
Fördel -0.748%
Kelly -1.06%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.93%28.42%28.35%29.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.213.233.4332.79%31.11%31.01%29.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: São Bernardo (Hemma): 44.92%; Nautico PE (Borta): 26.67%; Oavgjort: 28.41%. För Nautico PE (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.75. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.78, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.819%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV +0.819%E +0.217%K +0.295%G +0.002%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.06%EV -2.56%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 18:44
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV +0.019%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 18:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:44
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:48
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.67%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.44%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 18:54
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:44
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:44
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:44
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:54
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 18:54
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.26%E -4.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.65%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:44
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 18:44
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 18:39
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:54
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:54
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 18:34
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 18:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 18:34
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -15.98%E -5.07%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 18:54
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 18:54
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -18.65%E -6.12%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.36%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -18.65%E -6.12%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.36%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 18:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-08-23 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-08-23 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-08-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-08-23 18:54
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-23 18:54