Langue:Français
São Bernardo v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 44.92%2.23cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.58%44.86%44.94%46.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.072.1651.28%48.36%48.31%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.67%3.75cote équitable
EV +0.819%
Avantage +0.217%
Kelly +0.295%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.93%26.71%26.71%29.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.383.303.7832.79%29.62%30.30%26.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.41%3.52cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.748%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.93%28.42%28.35%29.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.213.233.4332.79%31.11%31.01%29.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : São Bernardo (Local) : 44.92% ; Nautico PE (Visiteur) : 26.67% ; Match nul : 28.41%. Pour Nautico PE (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.75. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.78, soit une espérance positive de +0.819%.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV +0.819%E +0.217%K +0.295%G +0.002% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.06%EV -2.56%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV +0.019%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 18:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.67%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.44%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.26%E -4.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.65%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.97%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -15.98%E -5.07%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -17.32%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -18.65%E -6.12%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.36%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -18.65%E -6.12%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.36%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |