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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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São Bernardo v América Mineiro

開賽時間： 2026-05-16 19:00 UTC

最終賽果： São Bernardo 1–1 América Mineiro

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

40 家博彩公司 (15 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

São Bernardo (主隊)

預測 42.25%2.37公平賠率
EV -3.67%
優勢 -1.61%
Kelly -2.87%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.28

博彩公司預測分布
40.97%42.62%42.11%45.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.972.132.132.2850.76%46.91%47.06%43.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值

América Mineiro (客隊)

預測 27.20%3.68公平賠率
EV +0.652%
優勢 +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 3.70

博彩公司預測分布
24.37%26.93%27.24%28.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.483.453.7032.26%28.75%28.99%27.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 30.55%3.27公平賠率
EV -2.25%
優勢 -0.702%
Kelly -1.02%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.20

博彩公司預測分布
28.91%30.45%30.66%31.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.753.053.053.2036.36%32.80%32.79%31.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：São Bernardo (主隊)：42.25%；América Mineiro (客隊)：27.20%；和局：30.55%。 對於「América Mineiro (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.68的公平十進位賠率。 當時有8家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為3.70，對應+0.652%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (40 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -12.97%E -6.30%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -0.709%E -0.194%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:31
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -13.81%E -6.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%EV -4.52%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.77%EV -2.34%E -0.652%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.70%EV -4.38%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 18:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.02%E -4.17%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -16.77%E -8.51%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -6.42%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.32%E -3.83%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:31
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 18:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 18:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:50
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:51
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:51
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 18:31
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 18:55
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 18:45
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.99%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 18:55
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55