La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
São Bernardo v América Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
São Bernardo (Local)
Predicción 42.25%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.97%42.62%42.11%45.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.132.132.2850.76%46.91%47.06%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
América Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 27.20%3.68momio equitativo
EV +0.652%
Ventaja +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%26.93%27.24%28.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.453.7032.26%28.75%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.55%3.27momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.702%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.91%30.45%30.66%31.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.053.2036.36%32.80%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -12.97%E -6.30%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -0.709%E -0.194%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:31 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -13.81%E -6.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%EV -4.52%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.77%EV -2.34%E -0.652%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.70%EV -4.38%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.02%E -4.17%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -16.77%E -8.51%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -6.42%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.32%E -3.83%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:31 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 18:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 18:30 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| BetUS | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:51 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:51 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 18:31 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.99%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |