مدرسة الاحتمالات

São Bernardo v América Mineiro

البداية: 2026-05-16 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: São Bernardo 1–1 América Mineiro

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

40 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

São Bernardo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.25%2.37السعر العادل
EV -3.67%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -2.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.97%42.62%42.11%45.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.972.132.132.2850.76%46.91%47.06%43.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

América Mineiro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.20%3.68السعر العادل
EV +0.652%
الأفضلية +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.37%26.93%27.24%28.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.483.453.7032.26%28.75%28.99%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.55%3.27السعر العادل
EV -2.25%
الأفضلية -0.702%
Kelly -1.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.91%30.45%30.66%31.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.053.053.2036.36%32.80%32.79%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 18:55
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -12.97%E -6.30%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -0.709%E -0.194%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:31
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -13.81%E -6.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%EV -4.52%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.77%EV -2.34%E -0.652%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.70%EV -4.38%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 18:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 18:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.02%E -4.17%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 18:55
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:55
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -16.77%E -8.51%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 18:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 18:40
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:45
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -6.42%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 18:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.32%E -3.83%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:31
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 18:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 18:30
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:50
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 18:55
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:51
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:51
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 18:31
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 18:55
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:30
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 18:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.99%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 18:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55