A Escola das Odds

São Bernardo v América Mineiro

Início: 2026-05-16 19:00 UTC

Final: São Bernardo 1–1 América Mineiro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

São Bernardo (Local)

Previsão 42.25%2.37odd justa
EV -3.67%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.97%42.62%42.11%45.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.972.132.132.2850.76%46.91%47.06%43.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

América Mineiro (Visitante)

Previsão 27.20%3.68odd justa
EV +0.652%
Vantagem +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.37%26.93%27.24%28.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.483.453.7032.26%28.75%28.99%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.55%3.27odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -0.702%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.91%30.45%30.66%31.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.053.053.2036.36%32.80%32.79%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 18:55
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -12.97%E -6.30%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -0.709%E -0.194%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:31
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -13.81%E -6.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%EV -4.52%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.77%EV -2.34%E -0.652%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.70%EV -4.38%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 18:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 18:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.02%E -4.17%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 18:55
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:55
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -16.77%E -8.51%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 18:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 18:40
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:45
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -6.42%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 18:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.32%E -3.83%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:31
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 18:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 18:30
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:50
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 18:55
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:51
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:51
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 18:31
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 18:55
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:30
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 18:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.99%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 18:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55